Uncertainty by Design: Preparing for the Future with Scenario Technology (Expertise: Cultures and Technologies of Knowledge)
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"Timely and original, Uncertainty by Design highlights the role of imagination in risk, uncertainty, and governmentality. It is a must-read for anyone interested in environmental sociology, futurology, or studies of management and organization." -- Turo-Kimmo Lehtonen, Tampere University, Finland
"How do emerging social technologies affect the way we think about the future? In Uncertainty by Design, Limor Samimian-Darash provides a compelling account of scenario planning, foregrounding uncertainty as a new analytic that reshapes how we conceptualize the impending potentialities of the contemporary world." -- Daniel M. Knight, University of St. Andrews, author of Vertiginous Life
In Uncertainty by Design Limor Samimian-Darash presents cases of the use of scenario technology in the fields of security and emergency preparedness, energy, and health by analyzing scenario narratives and practices at the National Emergency Management Authority in Israel, the World Health Organization's Regional Office for Europe, and the World Energy Council.
Humankind has long struggled with the uncertainty of the future, with how to foresee the future, imagine alternatives, or prepare for and guard against undesirable eventualities. Scenario―or scenario planning―emerged in recent decades to become a widespread means through which states, large corporations, and local organizations imagine and prepare for the future.
The scenario technology cases examined in Uncertainty by Design provide a useful lens through which to view contemporary efforts to engage in an overall journey of discovering the future, along with the modality of governing involved in these endeavors to face future uncertainties. Collectively, they enable us to understand in depth how scenarios express a new governing modality.
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